This box trades at $157, 29% below its 1-year high of $220. It's down 28.5% over 90 days, but the last week ticked up — possibly finding a floor. It sits mid-range for the period tracked. It typically swings about ±20.4% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 45% drawdown from peak; it sits 29% below that peak now.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 27% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $4,332 — 27.6× the box price, vs a typical 61.1× for Riftbound. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Riftbound boxes the median 30-day move is +27.0% (100% of boxes up), and this one is running 3.2 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 1.3× the ~$120 standard retail price of a Riftbound box of its era · data confidence B: moderate price history (72 reads / 94 days) · 11 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
