This box trades at $210, 38% below its 1-year high of $338. It's down 36.8% over 90 days, but the last week ticked up — possibly finding a floor. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±18.7% in a month — jumpy for a Riftbound box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 52% drawdown from peak; it sits 38% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 9% over the last 60 days (~283 live now). The set's cards are worth about $15,619 — 74.2× the box price, vs a typical 8.4× for Riftbound. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Riftbound boxes the median 30-day move is +2.5% (79% of boxes up), and this one is running 18.3 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
Supply is starting to tighten (down 9%) but hasn't crossed the 10% buy threshold — on WATCH. It upgrades to BUY SETUP if the 60-day supply drop reaches 10% while the price holds.