This box trades at $302, 2% below its 1-year high of $309. Price has been broadly stable across the last quarter. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±4.2% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 14% drawdown from peak; it sits 2% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 10% over the last 60 days (~700 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,276 — 4.2× the box price, vs a typical 2.9× for Pokemon. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -1.2% (32% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.1 points ahead of that pace.
Tightening supply with a price that's holding is the classic setup — rated Buy. It's also pushing into new highs rather than stalling at them: supply is tightening while the price keeps making ground, and the last week hasn't turned down. A squeeze that's still being paid up for is the strongest version of this setup, so being near the high counts for it here, not against it. What would end it: supply refilling (the 60-day drop easing back under 10%), or the 30-day price slipping more than 2%.
Context & evidence · trades at 1.9× the ~$162 standard retail price of a Pokemon box of its era · data confidence A: 123 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
