This box trades at $305 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 17.9% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±12.7% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 14% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 2% over the last 60 days (~676 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,450 — 4.7× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 8.8 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.