This box trades at $538, 4% below its 1-year high of $560. It's up 14.5% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±4.0% in a month.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 4% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $1,047 — 1.9× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 3.4 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.