This box trades at $483, 4% below its 1-year high of $504. Price has been broadly stable across the last quarter. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±0.7% in a month — calm by Pokemon box standards, so moves that size are worth noticing.
eBay supply has held flat over the last 60 days. The set's cards are worth about $611 — 1.3× the box price, vs a typical 2.9× for Pokemon. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -1.2% (32% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.3 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 3× the ~$162 standard retail price of a Pokemon box of its era · data confidence A: 117 price reads over 181 days · 26 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
