This box trades at $444, 7% below its 1-year high of $479. It's up 6.5% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. It sits mid-range for the period tracked. It typically swings about ±14.7% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 16% drawdown from peak; it sits 7% below that peak now.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 5% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $1,529 — 3.4× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.4 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.