This box trades at $225, 2% below its 1-year high of $229. It's in a steady climb: up 10.9% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±18.3% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 23% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 5% over the last 60 days (~1579 live now). The set's cards are worth about $874 — 3.9× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.8 points ahead of that pace.
Supply is starting to tighten (down 5%) but hasn't crossed the 10% buy threshold — on WATCH. It upgrades to BUY SETUP if the 60-day supply drop reaches 10% while the price holds.