This box trades at $173, 24% below its 1-year high of $229. It fell 21.5% over 90 days and has stabilized in the last month. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±9.6% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 26% drawdown from peak; it sits 24% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 12% over the last 60 days (~1674 live now). The set's cards are worth about $738 — 4.3× the box price, vs a typical 2.9× for Pokemon. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -1.2% (32% of boxes up), and this one is running 1.4 points ahead of that pace.
Tightening supply with a price that's holding is the classic setup — rated Strong Buy. It's also 24% below its high, so there's room to run (+1). What would end it: supply refilling (the 60-day drop easing back under 10%), or the 30-day price slipping more than 2%.
Context & evidence · trades at 1.1× the ~$162 standard retail price of a Pokemon box of its era · data confidence A: 123 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
