This box trades at $327 — right at its 1-year high. It's up 10.6% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±7.7% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 6% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 12% over the last 60 days (~199 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,862 — 5.7× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.5 points ahead of that pace.
Supply is tightening, but the box sits within 5% of its 1-year high — little room left to run, so it's held at WATCH. A pullback below roughly $313 — or a decisive break to new highs — reopens the buy case.