This box trades at $262. It's been sliding: down 30.1% over 90 days and still soft. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range.
The supply trend isn't readable yet — 2 readings so far, and 3 within 60 days are needed. Weekly Monday reads are filling this in. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -4.7% (14% of boxes up), and this one is running 25.4 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 1.6× the ~$162 standard retail price of a Pokemon box of its era · data confidence D: young price history (5 reads / 4 days) · supply history still building (2 reads) · volatility not yet measurable. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.