This box trades at $733, 13% below its 1-year high of $842. Price has been broadly stable across the last quarter. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±1.1% in a month — calm by Pokemon box standards, so moves that size are worth noticing. Worst tracked stretch: a 14% drawdown from peak; it sits 13% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 3% over the last 60 days (~165 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,452 — 2.0× the box price, vs a typical 2.9× for Pokemon. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -1.2% (32% of boxes up), and this one is running 1.6 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 5.1× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Pokemon box of its era · data confidence A: 123 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
