This box trades at $290, 3% below its 1-year high of $301. It ran up 6.0% over 90 days but has given back 3.5% in the last month. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±2.4% in a month — calm by Pokemon box standards, so moves that size are worth noticing. Worst tracked stretch: a 7% drawdown from peak; it sits 3% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 4% over the last 60 days (~602 live now). The set's cards are worth about $614 — 2.1× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 4.4 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.