$971

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Booster box · Pokémon

Fusion Strike

Nothing to do yet · 3/10

The Prof’s take

Fusion Strike has been pretty steady lately, and the number for sale hasn't changed much. Nothing for me to do here right now.

— the Prof

What would change my mind

Listings shrinking 10% in two months while the price holds, or the price settling near its low while the cards inside stay valuableRight now about 200 are for sale on eBay, down 4.2% from two months ago.

Open it or keep it sealed?

Keep it sealed. For what it costs, the cards inside aren't worth opening it for right now. Most of the value sits in a few big cards, so opening one is a bumpy ride.

Set value$2,340

Box price$971

Show me the numbers

Price since we started tracking it

Market price, in dollars.

Forecast bands are Pro. Where I expect the price over the next two months, drawn right on this chart.

See the back room

Price today$971

1-year high$1,137

Last 90 daysDown 11.0%

Last 30 daysAbout flat

This weekAbout flat

eBay listings~206 live, down 4.2% in 60 days

Set value$2,340, 2.4× the box (typical Pokémon 2.9×)

Vs. retail6.8× the ~$144 original price

Data confidenceA

eBay listings over time

How many are for sale. Fewer usually means harder to find.

The long version

This box trades at $971, 15% below its 1-year high of $1,137. It fell 11.0% over 90 days and has stabilized in the last month. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±2.9% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 15% drawdown from peak; it sits 15% below that peak now.

eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 4% over the last 60 days (~206 live now). The set's cards are worth about $2,340, 2.4× the box price, vs a typical 2.9× for Pokemon. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -1.2% (32% of boxes up), and this one is running 1.5 points ahead of that pace.

No supply contraction and no price momentum, nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a “Good time to buy” rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value pattern, a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.

What this is based on: 123 price reads over 198 days, 30 supply reads.