This box trades at $358, 4% below its 1-year high of $372. A quiet quarter overall, though it's slipped 3.6% in the last month. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±1.2% in a month — calm by Pokemon box standards, so moves that size are worth noticing.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 10% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $301 — 0.8× the box price, vs a typical 2.9× for Pokemon. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is -1.2% (32% of boxes up), and this one is running 2.4 points behind that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 2.2× the ~$162 standard retail price of a Pokemon box of its era · data confidence A: 117 price reads over 181 days · 26 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
