This box trades at $230, 17% below its 1-year high of $276. It's been sliding: down 8.1% over 90 days and still soft. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±14.0% in a month — jumpy for a Pokemon box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 19% drawdown from peak; it sits 17% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 1% over the last 60 days (~2811 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,074 — 4.7× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 2.9 points behind that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.