This box trades at $417 — right at its 1-year high. It's up 7.2% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±2.9% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 5% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 9% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $950 — 2.3× the box price, vs a typical 3.4× for Pokemon. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Pokemon boxes the median 30-day move is +0.9% (60% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.3 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.