This box trades at $201, 49% below its 1-year high of $398. It's been sliding: down 49.4% over 90 days and still soft. That leaves it near the bottom of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±12.2% in a month — jumpy for a One Piece box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 50% drawdown from peak; it sits 49% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 6% over the last 60 days (~489 live now). The set's cards are worth about $6,295 — 31.3× the box price, vs a typical 12.8× for One Piece. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across One Piece boxes the median 30-day move is +1.9% (89% of boxes up), and this one is running 22.0 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.