This box trades at $248 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 9.4% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±2.1% in a month.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 1% over the last 60 days (~151 live now). The set's cards are worth about $2,184 — 8.8× the box price, vs a typical 17.1× for One Piece. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across One Piece boxes the median 30-day move is -0.0% (45% of boxes up), and this one is running 2.7 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 2.1× the ~$120 standard retail price of a One Piece box of its era · data confidence A: 110 price reads over 153 days · 18 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
