This box trades at $823 — right at its 1-year high. It's up 50.8% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±5.5% in a month — jumpy for a One Piece box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 10% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 41% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $37,755 — 45.9× the box price, vs a typical 17.1× for One Piece. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across One Piece boxes the median 30-day move is -0.0% (45% of boxes up), and this one is running 3.4 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 6.9× the ~$120 standard retail price of a One Piece box of its era · data confidence A: 110 price reads over 153 days · 18 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
