This box trades at $818 — right at its 1-year high. It's up 12.2% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±3.1% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 10% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 33% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $41,400 — 50.6× the box price, vs a typical 18.6× for One Piece. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across One Piece boxes the median 30-day move is -1.8% (29% of boxes up), and this one is running 1.0 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 6.8× the ~$120 standard retail price of a One Piece box of its era · data confidence A: 123 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
