This box trades at $213 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 81.1% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±13.2% in a month — jumpy for a Lorcana box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 15% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 6% over the last 60 days (~90 live now). The set's cards are worth about $6,977 — 32.7× the box price, vs a typical 13.2× for Lorcana. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +35.5% (100% of boxes up), and this one is running 34.4 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
Supply is starting to tighten (down 6%) but hasn't crossed the 10% buy threshold — on WATCH. It upgrades to BUY SETUP if the 60-day supply drop reaches 10% while the price holds.