This box trades at $488 — right at its 1-year high. It's up 57.6% over 90 days, though the pace has cooled lately. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±6.9% in a month.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 16% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $3,523 — 7.2× the box price, vs a typical 13.2× for Lorcana. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +35.5% (100% of boxes up), and this one is running 3.6 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.