This box trades at $169 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 49.0% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±7.4% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 12% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 4% over the last 60 days (~237 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,276 — 7.6× the box price, vs a typical 13.2× for Lorcana. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +35.5% (100% of boxes up), and this one is running 22.3 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.