This box trades at $154, 13% below its 1-year high of $177. A quiet quarter overall, but it's picked up 9.1% in the last month. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±5.6% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 28% drawdown from peak; it sits 13% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 20% over the last 60 days (~85 live now). The set's cards are worth about $3,342 — 21.8× the box price, vs a typical 17.9× for Lorcana. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +0.3% (62% of boxes up), and this one is running 8.8 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
Tightening supply with a price that's holding is the classic setup — rated Strong Buy. What would end it: supply refilling (the 60-day drop easing back under 10%), or the 30-day price slipping more than 2%.
Context & evidence · trades at 1.1× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Lorcana box of its era · data confidence A: 122 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
