This box trades at $134, 24% below its 1-year high of $177. It's in a steady climb: up 42.9% over 90 days and still rising this week. It sits mid-range for the period tracked. It typically swings about ±15.3% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 28% drawdown from peak; it sits 24% below that peak now.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 29% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $2,913 — 21.7× the box price, vs a typical 14.8× for Lorcana. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +0.7% (54% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.7 points ahead of that pace.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 0.9× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Lorcana box of its era · data confidence A: 109 price reads over 153 days · 18 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
