This box trades at $110 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 65.8% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±7.0% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 22% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 10% over the last 60 days (~173 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,317 — 11.9× the box price, vs a typical 13.2× for Lorcana. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +35.5% (100% of boxes up), and this one is running 3.6 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
Supply is tightening, but the box sits within 5% of its 1-year high — little room left to run, so it's held at WATCH. A pullback below roughly $105 — or a decisive break to new highs — reopens the buy case.