This box trades at $825, 22% below its 1-year high of $1,056. It fell 21.8% over 90 days and has stabilized in the last month. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±13.9% in a month — jumpy for a Lorcana box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 32% drawdown from peak; it sits 22% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 8% over the last 60 days (~57 live now). The set's cards are worth about $14,983 — 18.2× the box price, vs a typical 17.9× for Lorcana. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +0.3% (62% of boxes up), and this one is running 0.2 points behind that pace.
Supply is starting to tighten (down 8%) but hasn't crossed the 10% buy threshold — rated Watch. It upgrades to a Buy rating if the 60-day supply drop reaches 10% while the price holds.
Context & evidence · trades at 5.7× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Lorcana box of its era · data confidence A: 122 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
