
This box trades at $115, 5% below its 1-year high of $121. Price has been broadly stable across the last quarter. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±3.6% in a month.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 9% over the last 60 days (~99 live now). The set's cards are worth about $1,426 — 12.4× the box price, vs a typical 17.9× for Lorcana. That thin multiple trims 1 point off the score. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +0.3% (62% of boxes up), and this one is running 1.2 points behind that pace.
Supply is starting to tighten (down 9%) but hasn't crossed the 10% buy threshold — rated Watch. It upgrades to a Buy rating if the 60-day supply drop reaches 10% while the price holds.
Context & evidence · trades at 0.8× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Lorcana box of its era · data confidence A: 122 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.







