This box trades at $198, 24% below its 1-year high of $259. It's down 14.4% over 90 days, but the last week ticked up — possibly finding a floor. It sits mid-range for the period tracked. It typically swings about ±12.0% in a month — jumpy for a Lorcana box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 26% drawdown from peak; it sits 24% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 8% over the last 60 days (~296 live now). The set's cards are worth about $7,736 — 39.1× the box price, vs a typical 17.9× for Lorcana. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +0.3% (62% of boxes up), and this one is running 7.5 points behind that pace.
This set released 2026-07-17, 87 days ago. Launch allocation is still selling through, so a contracting listing count is ordinary retail behavior rather than a squeeze — the same reason singles and ETBs hold new sets back. Ratings unlock at 90 days old — 3 days from now.
Context & evidence · trades at 1.4× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Lorcana box of its era · data confidence A: 113 price reads over 167 days · 23 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
