This box trades at $116 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 18.7% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±5.2% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 8% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 11% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $2,115 — 18.2× the box price, vs a typical 13.2× for Lorcana. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +35.5% (100% of boxes up), and this one is running 13.4 points behind that pace. Lagging its own market trims 1 point.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. What to watch for: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, which flags BUY SETUP.