This box trades at $141 — right at its 1-year high. It's in a steady climb: up 23.1% over 90 days and still rising this week. That puts it in the upper part of its tracked range. It typically swings about ±6.4% in a month. Worst tracked stretch: a 8% drawdown from peak.
eBay supply is growing: active listings are up 3% over the last 60 days — more sellers than buyers for now. The set's cards are worth about $2,531 — 17.9× the box price, vs a typical 17.9× for Lorcana. Across Lorcana boxes the median 30-day move is +0.3% (62% of boxes up), and this one is running 4.9 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
No supply contraction and no price momentum — nothing actionable right now. Two ways it earns a Buy rating: a 60-day supply drop past 10% while the price holds, or a value setup — a price near the bottom of its range that stabilizes while the set's card value stays rich vs the box.
Context & evidence · trades at 1× the ~$144 standard retail price of a Lorcana box of its era · data confidence A: 122 price reads over 198 days · 30 supply reads · volatility measured. Grades improve automatically as history accrues — we publish the evidence depth, not just the verdict.
Price history
eBay supply
