This box trades at $149, 9% below its 1-year high of $165. A quiet quarter overall, but it's picked up 7.8% in the last month. It sits mid-range for the period tracked. It typically swings about ±14.5% in a month — jumpy for a Riftbound box, so single-digit dips here are mostly noise. Worst tracked stretch: a 23% drawdown from peak; it sits 9% below that peak now.
eBay supply is tightening: active listings are down 14% over the last 60 days (~413 live now). The set's cards are worth about $11,595 — 77.6× the box price, vs a typical 8.4× for Riftbound. That rich multiple adds +1 to the score. Across Riftbound boxes the median 30-day move is +2.5% (79% of boxes up), and this one is running 5.4 points ahead of that pace. Beating its own market adds +1 — the move is this box's, not the tide's.
Tightening supply with a price that's holding is the classic accumulation setup — flagged BUY SETUP. What would end it: supply refilling (the 60-day drop easing back under 10%), or the 30-day price slipping more than 2%.